Possible scenario
Rapid Replacement
45% Chance
The White House contains the story by elevating a known communications hand and treating Katie Zacharia's five-day tenure as a vetting error. This is the most likely path because the role is operational rather than policy-setting, and the administration has strong incentives to end the personnel story quickly.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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