Possible scenario
Sanctions Delistings Broaden
25% Chance
The Usmanov and Fridman decisions encourage more challenges to EU individual sanctions where evidence is stale or court rulings have weakened Brussels' position. The core Russia sanctions architecture remains intact, but individual designations become more legally contested.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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