Congress Reasserts Control

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

With Democrats controlling both chambers after the midterms, Congress is likely to use Trump’s remark as evidence that the war lacks public consent. The most probable path is a combination of hearings, appropriations limits, and renewed war-powers votes.

What it moves

Industrials−0.4%
Consumer Services+0.3%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down
Oil prices▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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