Possible scenario
Rains Prolong Crisis
30% Chance
Additional rainfall keeps water levels elevated in central Thailand and forces wider evacuations. Bangkok avoids the worst outcome, but the disaster becomes a larger domestic economic interruption.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.5%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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