Possible scenario
Flooding Starts To Recede
45% Chance
Heavy rain eases across the Chao Phraya basin and emergency pumping prevents a broader Bangkok crisis. Damage remains serious across affected provinces, but the event is treated as a contained national disaster rather than a regional macro shock.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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