Possible scenario
Chinese Pressure Extends
25% Chance
Chinese diplomatic and military pressure causes Washington to prolong the review or narrow the contents of the sale. The impact is concentrated in defense technology and autonomous systems rather than the broader market.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.8%
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- AVAV-1.5%
- KTOS-0.9%
- RTX+0.2%
- LMT+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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