Hardline Backlash Returns

20%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Congressional, European, or Ukrainian opposition forces the White House to reaffirm sanctions on Russian energy projects. The talks become politically costly, especially if they are portrayed as helping finance Moscow while the Ukraine war remains unresolved.

What it moves

Energy−0.8%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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