Possible scenario
Government Opens Dialogue
25% Chance
Thai officials attempt to defuse criticism by holding meetings with unions and clarifying that cooperation with the IMF and World Bank does not imply a new austerity program. This outcome reduces protest risk and reassures tourism, banking and business groups.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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