Possible scenario
Contained Criminal Case
48% Chance
The most likely path is that the shooting is handled as a serious but contained criminal case rather than a turning point in the federal deployment. MPD, the U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Columbia, and the D.C. National Guard emphasize that the suspect was detained quickly and that patrols will continue with modest safety changes.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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