Possible scenario
Projection Near 262 Holds
0.0%
The most likely path is that the official count continues catching up to earlier projections showing Democrats near 262 seats. A caucus of that size would give Hakeem Jeffries a durable House majority and reduce the risk that a small group of defectors can block procedural votes.
What it moves
- Utilities+0.8%
- Energy−0.7%
- 10-year Treasury yield
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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