Compromise Candidate Emerges

Neither Scalise nor Jordan can reach a majority of the conference, opening the door for a third candidate such as Tom Emmer, Elise Stefanik, or another leadership figure. This echoes the 2023 speaker turmoil, though the stakes are lower because the GOP is in the minority.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.