Possible scenario
Negotiated Access Deal
27% Chance
A negotiated compromise remains plausible because the White House still benefits from broad distribution, and networks benefit from access. The deal likely preserves some official White House video while restoring a rotating pool system under tighter conditions.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +1.0%
- Telecommunications +0.1%
Tickers
- +1.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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