Possible scenario
Boycott Becomes Standoff
36% Chance
The most likely path is a prolonged but contained standoff: major networks refuse the White House pool under the new terms, while the administration relies on Trump TV for live video. The dispute dominates political coverage but does not immediately become a full market-moving constitutional crisis.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.9%
- Telecommunications -0.2%
Tickers
- DJT+1.3%
- -0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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