Possible scenario
Limited DOJ Role
40% Chance
The most likely outcome is that Kurt Olsen stays at the Justice Department but is walled off from investigations involving Trump critics such as Letitia James and Adam Schiff. DOJ leadership has an incentive to preserve his role while reducing the appearance of direct political involvement in sensitive cases.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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