Possible scenario
Ethics Review Intensifies
25% Chance
Internal watchdog or ethics officials take a closer look at whether Olsen's prior election litigation and political ties created a conflict. This would not necessarily derail the investigations, but it would extend the controversy around DOJ independence.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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