Republican Pushback

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

After midterm losses, Senate and House Republicans use the resignations to demand more discipline from the White House. This scenario produces gridlock and oversight pressure, but it also restrains the most disruptive Iran and personnel decisions.

What it moves

Consumer Services+0.4%
Finance−0.4%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Oil prices▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Republican Pushback

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