Divided-Government Gridlock

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The most likely path is a Democratic House led by Hakeem Jeffries using a large majority to block much of President Donald Trump’s domestic agenda while stopping short of market-disruptive confrontation. Investors treat the outcome as confirmation of divided government and reduced odds of major new partisan legislation.

What it moves

Technology+0.3%
Finance+0.2%
10-year Treasury yield▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?