Possible scenario
Yields Pressure Growth
22% Chance
The market refocuses on the inflation shock that triggered the earlier selloff. A modest backup in Treasury yields weighs on long-duration technology shares and limits enthusiasm before earnings.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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