Possible scenario
Jackson Stabilizes Position
38% Chance
Troy Jackson's retreat on Israel military aid reduces the immediate vulnerability created by his earlier Gaza comments. His opposition to voter ID still gives Susan Collins an attack line, but Jackson keeps the race competitive by refocusing on labor, health care, and Collins's long incumbency.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.