Possible scenario
Collins Regains Edge
30% Chance
Collins benefits from Jackson's defensive debate posture, portraying him as inconsistent on Israel aid and weak on election-security issues. The incumbent's bipartisan brand and stronger appeal to older independents give her a small but meaningful advantage.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.