Possible scenario
Courts Limit Order
24% Chance
Judges are unlikely to block the Justice Department from seeking death outright, but they may limit how the administration's statements can be used. The strongest defense argument is not that the president cannot set enforcement priorities, but that a specific public order risks prejudicing the defendant's due-process rights.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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