Possible scenario
Fast Policy Wins
0.0%
Democrats use their new Arizona trifecta to move quickly on high-salience issues where the party campaigned heavily after the 1864 abortion-ban fight. Narrow legislative margins keep the agenda focused on items with strong caucus unity and clear public support.
What it moves
- Utilities−0.1%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.