Possible scenario
Limited Compromise Emerges
20% Chance
Ukraine and Australia find a partial workaround that avoids inducting the full helicopter fleet. Kyiv may accept spare parts, sensors, engines, simulators, or training equipment if they can be repurposed without adding a new combat aviation type.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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