Scenario description
Assume Israel conducts publicly acknowledged or credibly reported air operations using Iraqi airspace to strike Iranian-backed or Iran-affiliated targets elsewhere in the region, outside Iraq, by the resolution date, and no qualifying Israeli strike inside Iraq occurs first. The initiating event is operational use of the reported airspace authorization for a regional strike route rather than a strike on Iraqi territory. The available evidence does not establish the target country, sortie count, munitions, U.S. involvement, or duration; those operational details remain unknown unless reported at resolution.