Regional Military Escalation
−2.1%
Iran’s loss of oil revenue and the recent strike on the Omani island create a credible path to further kinetic escalation. Even if neither side wants a regional war, miscalculation around tankers, mines, or U.S. naval assets could produce a sharp energy and volatility shock.
What it moves
- Energy+3.7%
- Consumer Cyclicals−2.9%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- 10-year Treasury yield
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