Possible scenario
Guardrails Slow Adoption
25% Chance
The SEC allows on-chain trading but surrounds it with custody, disclosure, surveillance and capital requirements that slow market entry. This protects investor safeguards but reduces the near-term commercial upside for crypto-native platforms.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-1.9%
- -1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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