Possible scenario
Senate Balance Shifts
+0.2%
Cooper’s pickup of Thom Tillis’s open seat proves important to the national Senate balance. The market relevance comes less from North Carolina policy and more from whether Democrats control confirmations, tax negotiations and health-care legislation in Washington.
What it moves
- Utilities+0.3%
- Healthcare+0.3%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.