Possible scenario
Niche Adoption Path
30% Chance
The launch occurs but remains specialized, used mainly by crypto-native desks, exchanges, and wallet developers rather than mainstream USDT users. This is plausible because Ethereum, Tron, and other chains already dominate stablecoin liquidity.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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