Possible scenario
Smooth Bitcoin Relaunch
45% Chance
Tether completes the announced return of USDT to Bitcoin using Utexo with no major technical or operational issues. The most likely outcome is a controlled rollout because Tether has already signaled the return and Utexo had time and funding to prepare infrastructure.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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