Possible scenario
Broader Polling Review
25% Chance
The AI-respondent problem expands from one flagged survey into a broader review of the pollster’s 2026 output. South Carolina race handicappers become less confident in recent movement for Lindsey Graham, Andrews, and Lacore until independent polls arrive.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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