Possible scenario
Netanyahu Bloc Revives
−0.2%
Eisenkot’s talks fail and Benjamin Netanyahu regains the initiative by holding Likud, Shas, United Torah Judaism and Religious Zionism together. This is not the base case after Ra’am and the opposition bloc back Eisenkot, but Netanyahu’s experience and discipline inside the right-religious bloc keep the path viable.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.3%
- Finance−0.3%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.