Confidence Crisis Deepens

30%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The plunge becomes a broader credibility problem for Intel’s turnaround plan. Investors focus on years of foundry losses, AI share losses to Nvidia, and the risk that negative free cash flow in 2027 limits strategic flexibility.

What it moves

Technology−0.5%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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