Possible scenario
Sanctions Relief Opens
35% Chance
Iran's inspector-access offer develops into limited sanctions relief focused on energy reconstruction, allowing international oilfield-service companies to participate through licensed projects or non-U.S. affiliates. Halliburton's multi-year recovery thesis proves credible as South Pars, export terminals, and damaged processing assets require specialized drilling, cementing, completion, and maintenance work.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +1.0%
- Industrials +0.3%
Tickers
- HAL+4.5%
- SLB+3.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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