Possible scenario
Sanctions Block Contracts
20% Chance
Inspector access proves insufficient for meaningful sanctions relief, and Washington keeps strict limits on U.S.-linked energy services. Halliburton's multi-year growth outlook is still possible through regional activity, but investors reduce expectations for direct Iran-related revenue.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.6%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- HAL-3.2%
- BKR-2.2%
- SLB-1.8%
- FTI-1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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