Possible scenario
Opponents Capitalize Politically
25% Chance
Rivals can use the shared-staff and shared-office facts to portray Wiener as violating the spirit of campaign-finance rules. In a heavily Democratic San Francisco district, reputational attacks about clean government and insider politics can be electorally meaningful.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.