Possible scenario
Campaign Contains Damage
30% Chance
Wiener has an established San Francisco political base and may be able to limit the fallout if he acts quickly and keeps major endorsers aligned. The issue is legally technical, which makes it less likely to dominate voters' decisions unless new facts emerge.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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