Possible scenario
Access Stays Conditional
25% Chance
Washington restores UK access but keeps tight control over timing, data handling and publication of findings. The arrangement prevents a diplomatic break, yet leaves AI labs facing a more bureaucratic release process.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Business Services +0.2%
Tickers
- GOOG-0.2%
- MSFT-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.