Possible scenario
Hard Ban Gains
15% Chance
A high-profile safety incident, whistleblower claim, or classified briefing gives Khanna's ban unexpected momentum. The proposal attracts progressive Democrats and some national-security Republicans, increasing the perceived probability of a temporary statutory moratorium.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.4%
- Business Services -0.3%
- Telecommunications -0.1%
Tickers
- NVDA-1.6%
- MSFT-1.2%
- META-0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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