Possible scenario
Multilateral Pressure Campaign
18% Chance
Pakistan follows the UNGA speech with a more organized effort to internationalize Kashmir through the OIC, the UN Human Rights Council, and bilateral meetings with China, Turkey, and Gulf states. India resists the campaign but avoids military escalation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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