Possible scenario
DOJ Reviews Slowly
35% Chance
The Justice Department acknowledges the Georgia board's request and begins a legal review, but it does not issue an immediate ban before election administrators must finalize procedures. Raffensperger's office continues to defend the current ballot-marking system while preparing contingency filings.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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