Possible scenario
Courts Preserve System
25% Chance
Raffensperger, counties, voting-rights groups, or vendors obtain a court ruling that prevents sudden changes to the voting system. Judges emphasize administrative feasibility, prior certification, and the risk of voter confusion shortly before an election.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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