Possible scenario
Pappas Gains Moderates
42% Chance
Don Bolduc's endorsement gives Chris Pappas a credible permission structure for anti-Sununu Republicans, veterans, and independents to cross party lines. The effect is modest but meaningful in a closely divided New Hampshire electorate, especially if Pappas keeps the race focused on character and bipartisan service.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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