Possible scenario
Ethics Review
22% Chance
The issue shifts from criminal enforcement to Senate ethics and campaign-finance compliance. This route is plausible because it allows formal scrutiny without requiring prosecutors to prove a bribery or contractor-kickback case.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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