Possible scenario
Trespass Case Contained
45% Chance
German police determine the breach was a localized trespass or activist stunt rather than a directed intelligence operation. Given that the men surrendered and no immediate damage was reported, this is the most likely near-term outcome.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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