Obernolte Holds Seat
0.0%
Jay Obernolte remains ahead after remaining mail, provisional, and cured ballots are processed. The district’s Republican baseline and his existing 3,137-vote cushion make this the most likely outcome, even if late ballots continue to favor Derek Marshall.
What it moves
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.