Contained Spy Case
+0.2%
German prosecutors conclude the arrest is a narrow counterintelligence case involving one Ukrainian national recruited by Russian services. The main policy response is tighter vetting around defense contractors rather than a broad disruption to arms production or Ukraine aid.
What it moves
- Technology+0.4%
- Industrials+0.1%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.