Possible scenario
Bipartisan Narrow Deal
22% Chance
Republicans and Democrats avoid a revived partisan subcommittee by agreeing on a narrower oversight mechanism. The most likely compromise would focus on congressional access to military installations, document handling, and Inspector General follow-up rather than broad procurement investigations.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.1%
Tickers
- LMT+0.2%
- RTX+0.2%
- NOC+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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