Possible scenario
Hard Border Interdiction
30% Chance
The caravan or sizable remnants reach northern Mexico, and U.S. authorities carry out Homan's stated policy through visible arrests, rapid removals, and expanded detention capacity. This outcome is plausible because DHS has already warned of arrest and deportation.
Tickers
- GEO+2.8%
- CXW+2.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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