Possible scenario
Democrats Narrow Gap
25% Chance
Democratic super PACs and aligned committees respond by shifting more late money into Meta platforms. The gap narrows but does not fully close, as Republicans retain a head start in audience testing and creative deployment.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- META+0.5%
- ROKU+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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