Possible scenario
Ad Dominance Persists
45% Chance
MAGA Inc. and allied Republican super PACs continue to dominate paid Facebook placements through the final stretch of the campaign. Their large cash balance and early buying advantage make this the most likely path, especially if Democratic groups remain split across television, YouTube, streaming, and field operations.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- META+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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